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NBA Draft 2013: Marcus Smart Scouting Report and NBA Potential

March 2, 2013

Oklahoma State University
6’4 point guard
225 pounds

FromCollegetoPros.com Prediction as of March 2nd, 2013

FromCollegetoPros.com predicts that Marcus Smart will become a top 10 NBA point guard with a potential to move into the top 5 depending on how well his shooting improves.  Smart can be compared to a more physical but less gifted passing version of Deron Williams.

Here is a short summary on why the prediction.  See Scouting Criteria page for my definitions and examples of each category.

Aggressiveness – High
Ability to Create Shots – High
Performance Against Top Players and Teams – Moderately High
Mental Make-up – High

The Good

  • An arsenal of ways to score. See below.
  • Attack the basket through dribble drive
  • Gets to the foul line. 6 times per game.
  • Runs pick and rolls
  • Comes off screens for jumpers
  • Posts up. This is surprising. You don’t really see freshman point guard post up but he does.
  • Very good rebounder for a point guard
  • Leadership.  Despite just being a freshman, he has inserted himself by taking a leadership role.
  • Decent defender.  Averages 2.9 steals per a game.

The Concerns

  • Low shooting percentages. See additional post on topic.
  • Only 4.4 assists per game, which is a mild concern.  He seems to be a good passer but not an exceptional passer.  This number might rise once he gets to the NBA pick and roll game.

Aggressiveness

Score: High

Smart is aggressive when it matters.  In games where Oklahoma State is the superior team, he takes a step back and let his teammates score.  When they are playing a tough opponent ranked opponent, playing a close game or losing, his aggressive stats pick up.  See table below

Games

Points

FGA

FTA

Mins

Season Averages

27

14.7

10.9

6.1

32.9

Losses

6

17.3

12.3

8.5

35.5

Games within 7 points

7

19.7

14.9

8.4

37.1

Ranked opponents

5

21.8

14.4

9.0

37.2

It’s just not that Smart played more minutes.  See statistics adjusted for the same number of minutes.

Games

Points

FGA

FTA

Mins

Season Averages

27

14.7

10.9

6.1

32.9

Losses

6

16.1

11.4

7.9

32.9

Games within 7 points

7

17.5

13.2

7.5

32.9

Ranked opponents

5

19.3

12.7

8.0

32.9

Ability to Create Shots

Score: High

As mentioned above, Marcus Smart can score several ways.  He attacks the basket through dribble drive penetration.  He gets to the foul line at a decent rate. He runs pick and rolls. He can also come off screens and generate offense.  A special talent Smart has is a posting up.  He uses this to create offense for the team.

Performance against the best teams and players

Score: Moderately High

Smart has performed well against rank opponents as you can see on the table below.  He has exactly shot the ball well but the table below speaks for his production.

Games

Mins

Points

Rebs

Ast

Season Averages

27

32.9

14.7

5.6

4.4

Ranked opponents

5

37.2

21.8

6.4

3.8

See table below as adjusted for the same amount of minutes.

Games

Mins

Points

Rebs

Ast

Season Averages

27

32.9

14.7

5.6

4.4

Ranked opponents

5

32.9

19.3

5.7

3.4

Mental Make-up

Score: High

Marcus Smart is known to be a high character guy. Read two following articles on Smart’s articles:

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From → 2013 NBA Draft

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